How to double your money with government bonds in less than 2 years

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Charts, News, Web finds

Today’s chart is thank’s to this tweet by Mohamed El-Erian. Government bonds bore most people, in part because they promise low fixed rates of return, barely above bank deposit rates, and often lock in their rates for long periods of time over which inflation could eat away the value of the principal returned at the […]

Stocks or bonds

Buy stocks or bonds? 3 numbers to help decide

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Education, Investing

It is widely repeated in the investment community that the biggest difference in whether you earn high or low rates of return as a long-term investor is not your choice of an individual stock or bond, but how much you allocated overall to stocks vs bonds. The more you put in stocks, the more likely […]

Great depression recession woman gathering coal

Preparing for a 2020 recession

Posted 1 CommentPosted in Economics

Over the past two weeks, I have been asked no less than 10 times my views on any upcoming recession, and how I would invest in preparation of a 2020 recession. “Recession” often seems like one of those big, scary economic terms I often hear in financial and political media. The header image I chose […]

Earning less than 2.5% on cash? Higher rates from bank deposits and bond ETFs

Posted 5 CommentsPosted in Personal finance

The US Federal reserve has been raising interest rates slowly but steadily over the past 18 months so far, but many banks have been far slower to start paying these higher rates on to customer deposits. HSBC Hong Kong, as shown in the recent screenshot below, still pays 0.25% on savings accounts and 0.5% or […]

When Foreign Government Bonds (Sovereign) also give “buy low, sell high” opportunities

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Books

One of my favorite books is Ben Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor”. This page from the fourth revised edition (1973) gives a short but fascinating history of some amazing price swings in the not-too-obscure category of foreign government bonds, interesting in part because the government issuers aren’t around in the same form any more (Cuba had […]

Money Talk Xtra: Tariq explains convertible bonds on RTHK Radio 3

Posted Leave a commentPosted in News

Tune in Saturday, Feb 17th at 8:30am to RTHK Money Talk Xtra, where Peter Lewis and I explain convertible bonds and how every day investors can understand and decide whether to invest in them.

Asset Allocation Returns: Conservative, Moderate, and Aggressive, 2007-2017

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Investing

Asset allocation is and should be one of the first decisions made in planning an overall investment portfolio.  Some investors do their asset allocation accidentally, by only investing in one or two asset classes they know or are sold, or as the result of buying different individual investments one by one with no overall plan.  […]

China International Bond Investor Forum 2017 Notes

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Events

I attended the China International Bond Investor Forum on October 26th, 2017 in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong, and despite its remote location, was suprised it was so lightly attended (maybe 50 total, with over half the seats empty) given the size and importance of the Chinese bond market.  The main takeaways include: The China bond […]

Tariq Dennison teaches 1-day repo workshop to professional bond traders in Manila, Philippines on October 24th, 2017

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Education, Events

On October 24th, 2017, GFM’s Tariq Dennison presented an intensive 1-day repo workshop to over 60 professional bond traders in Manila, Philippines, with the goal of developing an active and liquid repo market for local Philippine peso bonds. “Repo” is short for “sale and repurchase agreement”, and is the main way banks and funds finance […]

Mobile-only bond offerings should become bigger and broader than Kenya's #MPesa #FinTech

Posted Leave a commentPosted in Web finds

I wasn’t too surprised to hear Kenya recently offered KES 150 million (US$1.5 mio) in government bonds exclusively through mobile phones.   These bonds are supposed to pay 10% interest tax free (vs 14% on their benchmark institutional 10 year bonds) and be available in denominations as low as KES 3,000 (US$30), and this is hopefully […]